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So right now there's no official change right now but Hurricane Melissa is a category 2 system. I think that the hurricane hunters are likely going to come back and say that this thing is already a category 3 which is 185 kilometers an hour so so the winds like I was saying 198 kilometers an hour or 123 miles an hour again those aren't right at the surface that's above but that's it's basically on the threshold right now so I'm sure they're they're going to upgrade it that's expected that's not a surprise the wind shear environment is very favorable it's low so it's very favorable for further development it's moving into an area with very very intense or not intense very warm sea surface temperatures and some deeper water that's warm so it's not just a surface layer so we're expecting that Melissa is going to become a major category 5 hurricane sometime Monday afternoon let's say 1 or 2 o'clock Eastern Time so it'll be a cat 5 and it is likely going to make landfall somewhere near alligator pond or just to the east of alligator pond in Jamaica and Jamaica and a few other places let me cycle it