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So one of the signs that we're seeing is there's already these large-scale rising air patterns over the central Pacific and they're sinking air over the Indian Ocean. I mean that happens all the time but we're seeing large-scale synoptic scale events occurring more regularly. So the pattern is setting up. I guess that's the best word I should say and that's basically a regular hallmark of an El Nino so that's when it's slowly beginning to take control of the global atmospheric circulation so that so that is already occurring that's what we're seeing and the El Nino is basically what it be as I've mentioned a million on that before that's when you have this rapid warming of the equatorial Pacific and it expands all the way from Australia over towards South America and as far as what the you know the world is a big place the weather varies everywhere.